How many sold? German Tank problem : serial nums wtd
Posted: 28 Aug 2025 09:19
DML recently commented "I wonder how many Falcon030's were made? How many are still working? How many are in a broken state?"
Well several computer enthusiasts have used the "German Tank Problem" formula to predict how many were made, using the range of serial numbers and using statistical analysis.
https://www.pagetable.com/?p=465
https://www.pagetable.com/?p=547
https://stardot.org.uk/forums/viewtopic.php?t=4321
If you post the exact model of your 16/32-bit Atari (even better the motherboard version), together with the serial number, I will try to estimate how many of each were made using the German Tank formula.
We need quite a few before accuracy becomes valid.
UPDATE: There is a database here: https://milan.kovac.cc/atari/chipmunk/
Well several computer enthusiasts have used the "German Tank Problem" formula to predict how many were made, using the range of serial numbers and using statistical analysis.
https://www.pagetable.com/?p=465
https://www.pagetable.com/?p=547
https://stardot.org.uk/forums/viewtopic.php?t=4321
If you post the exact model of your 16/32-bit Atari (even better the motherboard version), together with the serial number, I will try to estimate how many of each were made using the German Tank formula.
We need quite a few before accuracy becomes valid.
UPDATE: There is a database here: https://milan.kovac.cc/atari/chipmunk/